Winning a by-election poses a significant challenge for the ruling government, especially when facing uncertainties surrounding Keir Starmer’s leadership, a string of controversies, and numerous policy reversals. This task becomes even more daunting with these added complexities.
During the Gorton and Denton by-election count, a noticeable shift in atmosphere occurred around 1 am as Labour sources noted unexpectedly high turnout from Green Party supporters. This surge was dubbed as “by-election fever,” with doubts raised about the Green Party’s ability to replicate this success on a national scale.
By 2:30 am, efforts to minimize the damage were in motion. Labour’s Deputy Leader Lucy Powell, present throughout the night, made a televised appearance alongside Labour activists, projecting a unified front. Powell acknowledged the Greens’ persuasive argument, seemingly conceding Labour’s defeat, expressing admiration for Labour’s candidate and recognizing the Greens’ appeal to the electorate.
In response, a Green source expressed strong confidence in their victory. Powell emphasized the need for Labour to communicate its message more assertively in the upcoming weeks to address public expectations.
The ongoing identity crisis within Labour is not novel, as highlighted by previous challenges, such as the party’s stance on welfare cuts and internal calls for a shift towards the left. Labour MPs caution against attempting to out-Reform Reform by mimicking their policies on immigration and deportations.
The fear of losing votes to both left-wing and right-wing parties has materialized, resulting in Labour trailing in third place in this by-election. Speculation among MPs suggests that a third-place finish could spell the end for Keir Starmer’s leadership, underscoring the gravity of this unique electoral outcome.

